Carnegie Mellon | ECE |CEIC | PSERC |

Risk of Cascading Failures

PSERC Project S-26

 

 

 

Goals:

To develop tools for monitoring and managing
the risk of cascading failures. These tools will
identify contingencies that could initiate cascading
failures, estimate the overall risk (high, medium,
or low), and provide advice to operators on how
to reduce the risk.

 

Researchers

 

 

 

 

   Carnegie Mellon University

Sarosh Talukdar (project leader)

talukdar@ece.cmu.edu

 

 

Paul Hines

phines@cmu.edu

 

 

Huaiwei Liao

hliao@cmu.edu

 

 

 

 

 

          Iowa State University

James McCalley

jdm@iastate.edu

 

 

 

 

 

      University of Wisconsin

Ian Dobson

dobson@engr.wisc.edu

 

 

Kevin  Wierzbicki (graduated)

wierzbicki@wisc.edu

 


JangHoon Kim

jhkim25@wisc.edu



Hui Ren

hren@wisc.edu


 

 

 

 

Industrial Partners

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yuri Makarov

CAISO

 

 

Jianzhong Tong

PJM

 

 

Kip Morison

Powertech Labs Inc

 

 

Eugene Litvinov

ISO New England

 

 

Ali Chowdhury

MidAmerican Energy Co

 

 

Floyd Galvan

Entergy Corporation

 

 

Khoi Vu

ABB

 

 

Anatoly Meklin

PG & E

 

 

Lawrence Jones

AREVA

 

 

Aty Edris

EPRI

 

 

Rod Hardiman

Southern Co.

 

 

Jean-Philippe Paul

RTE

 

 

 

 

 

Work in Progress

 

 

 

Transmission Security:  Rules, Risks, and Blackouts

James D. McCalley, Iowa State University, Midwest ISO’s System Operator Training Short Course, April 24-28, 2006

With Assistance from Abdul Ardate, Siddhartha Khaitan, and Fei Xiao

 

Can Cascading Failures Be Eliminated?

Sarosh Talukdar, CEIC, Carnegie Mellon University, EPRI-RAC, March 2006

 

The Frequency of Large Blackouts in the United States

Paul Hines, Carnegie Mellon University, EPRI-RAC Poster, March 2006 [.pdf]

 

Designing A Multi-Agent System To Stop Cascading Failures After They Have Started
Sarosh Talukdar, Paul Hines, Carnegie Mellon University, January 2006

 

Monitoring Overall Risk of Blackouts: explanation and plan
Ian Dobson, University of  Wisconsin-Madison 2006

 

Publications

 

Distributed Model Predictive Control for the Mitigation of Cascading Failures

Sarosh Talukdar, Dong Jia, Paul Hines, and Bruce H. Krogh, March 2005

 

Autonomous Agents and Cooperation for the Control of Cascading Failures in Electric Grids
Paul Hines, Huaiwei Liao, Dong Jia, and Sarosh Talukdar
Proceedings of the IEEE Conf. on Networking, Sensing, and Control. Tucson, March 2005.

 

Controlling Cascading Failures with Cooperative Autonomous Agents

Paul Hines and Sarosh Talukdar, Carnegie Mellon University

 

Electrical Blackouts: A Systemic Problem
Apt, J., L. B. Lave, S. Talukdar, G. M. Morgan and M. Ilic,
Issues in Science and Technology, Vol. 20, No. 4, 2004, pp. 55-61.

 

Cascading Failures: Survival vs. Prevention
Talukdar, S., J. Apt, M. Ilic, L. Lave, and G. M. Morgan,
the Electricity Journal, Vol. 16, No. 9, November 2003, pp. 25-31.

 

Criticality in a cascading failure blackout model
D.P. Nedic, I. Dobson, D.S. Kirschen, B.A. Carreras, V.E. Lynch,
Fifteenth Power Systems Computation Conference, Liege Belgium, August 2005.

 

An estimator of propagation of cascading failure
I. Dobson, K.R. Wierzbicki, B.A. Carreras, V.E. Lynch, D.E. Newman,
Thirty-ninth Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, Kauai, Hawaii, January 2006.

 

An approach to statistical estimation of cascading failure propagation in blackouts
K.R. Wierzbicki, I. Dobson,
preprint to appear at CRIS, Third International Conference on Critical Infrastructures, Alexandria VA, Sept. 2006

 

Statistical estimation of cascading blackout size and propagation with branching processes
K.R. Wierzbicki
MS thesis, University of Wisconsin-Madison 2006.

 

previous Wisconsin/ORNL/Alaska, PSerc, CERTS publications on blackout risk and cascading failure
I. Dobson, B.A. Carreras, D.E. Newman, J.S. Thorp et al.