Carnegie Mellon | ECE | CEIC | PSERC |
Risk of Cascading Failures
PSERC Project S-26
 
 

Goals:

To develop tools for monitoring and managing the risk of cascading failures. These tools will identify contingencies that could initiate cascading failures, estimate the overall risk (high, medium, or low), and provide advice to operators on how to reduce the risk.

Researchers
 
Industrial
Partners
 
Work In Progress
 
Publications
   
     
Researchers    
Carnegie Mellon University Sarosh Talukdar (project leader) talukdar@ece.cmu.edu
  Paul Hines phines@cmu.edu
  Huaiwei Liao hliao@cmu.edu
Iowa State University James McCalley jdm@iastate.edu
University of Wisconsin Ian Dobson dobson@engr.wisc.edu
  Kevin Wierzbicki (graduated) wierzbicki@wisc.edu
  JangHoon Kim jhkim25@wisc.edu
  Hui Ren hren@wisc.edu
     
Industrial Partners    
  Yuri Makarov CAISO
  Jianzhong Tong PJM
  Kip Morison Powertech Labs Inc.
  Eugene Litvinov ISO New England
  Ali Chowdhury MidAmerican Energy Co.
  Floyd Galvan Entergy Corporation
  Khoi Vu ABB
  Anatoliy Meklin PG&E
  Lawrence Jones AREVA
  Aty Edris EPRI
  Rod Hardiman Southern Co.
  Jen-Philippe Paul RTE
 
Work in Progress
  Chapter 1: System Topology Based Identification of High Risk N-k Contingencies
Siddhartha Khaitan, Ph.D. Candidate, James D. McCalley, Professor, ECE, Iowa State University
   
  Transmission Security: Rules, Risks, and Blackouts
James D. McCalley, Iowa State University, Midwest ISO's System Operator Training Short Course, April 24-28, 2006 (With Assistance from Abdul Ardate, Siddhartha Khaitan, and Fei Xia)
   
  Can Cascading Failures Be Eliminated?
Sarosh Talukdar, CEIC, Carnegie Mellon University, EPRI-RAC, March 2006
   
  The Frequency of Large Blackouts in the United States
Paul Hines, Carnegie Mellon University, EPRI-RAC Poster, March 2006 [.pdf]
   
  Designing A Multi-Agent System To Stop Cascading Failures After They Have Started
Sarosh Talukdar, Paul Hines, Carnegie Mellon University, January 2006
   
  Monitoring Overall Risk of Blackouts: Explanation and Plan
Ian Dobson, University of Wisconsin-Madison 2006
   
  Operational Defense of Power System Cascading Outages
James D. McCalley, IEEE PES T&D Conference and Exposition: Cascading Failures and Blackouts, Dallas, TX, May 2006
   
  Preventive/Corrective Action Paradigm
Presentation by James D. McCalley at the IEEE PES T&D Conference and Exposition: Cascading Failures and Blackouts, Dallas, TX, May 2006
   
  Attributes of On-Line Cascading Event Tracking and Avoidance Decision Support Tool: A Report Developed for PSerc Project S26: Risk of Cascading Outages
Siddhartha Khaitan (Ph.D. Candidate under Prof. James D. McCalley), ECE Department, Iowa State University, May 2006
   
  System Topology-Based Identification of High Risk N-k Contingencies: A Report Developed for Pserc Project S26: Risk of Cascading Outages
Siddhartha Khaitan (Ph.D. Candidate under Prof. James D. McCalley), ECE Department, Iowa State University, May 2006
   
Publications
  Where is the edge for cascading failure?: challenges and opportunities for quantifying blackout risk
  Ian Dobson, IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting, Tampa, FL, USA, June 2007
   
  Distributed Model Predictive Control for the Mitigation of Cascading Failures
Sarosh Talukdar, Dong Jia, Paul Hines, and Bruce H. Krogh, March 2005
   
  Autonomous Agents and Cooperation for the Control of Cascading Failures in Electric Grids
Paul Hines, Huaiwei Liao, Dong Jia, and Sarosh Talukdar, Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Networking, Sensing, and Control, Tucson, AZ, March 2005
   
  Controlling Cascading Failures with Cooperative Autonomous Agents
Paul Hines and Sarosh Talukdar, Carnegie Mellon University
   
  Electrical Blackouts: A Systemic Problem
Apt, J., L. B. Lave, S. Talukdar, G. M. Morgan, and M. Ilic, Issues in Science and Technology, Vol. 20, No. 4, 2004, Pp. 55-61
   
  Cascading Failures: Survival vs. Prevention
Talukdar, S., J. Apt, M. Ilic, L. Lave, and G. M. Morgan, The Electricity Journal, Vol. 16, No. 9, November 2003, pp. 25-31
   
  Criticality in a Cascading Failure Blackout Model
Nedic, D. P., I. Dobson, D. S. Kirschen, B. A. Carreras, and V. E. Lynch, Fifteenth Power Systems Computation Conference, Liege, Belgium, August 2005
   
  An Estimator of Propagation of Cascading Failure
Dobson, I., K. R. Wierzbicki, B. A. Carreras, V. E. Lynch, and D. E. Newman, Thirty-ninth Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, Kauai, HI, January 2006
   
  An Approach to Statistical Estimation of Cascading Failure Propagation in Blackouts
Wierzbicki, K. R. and I. Dobson, preprint to appear at CRIS, Third International Conference on Critical Infrastructures, Alexandria, VA, September 2006
   
  Statistical Estimation of Cascading Blackout Size and Propagation with Branching Processes
K. R. Wierzbicki, MS thesis, University of Wisconsin-Madison 2006
   
  Previous Wisconsin/ORNL/Alaska, PSERC, CERTS publications on blackout risk and cascading failure
I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras, D. E. Newman, J. S. Thorp, et al.
   

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